UKHospitality is warning that the sector is on a countdown to a devastating rent tipping-point that will trigger a new year bloodbath of hospitality business failures unless moratoria are extended.
Government has so far shielded businesses from eviction and the worst aggressive enforcement activity by landlords over the past nine months through the lease forfeiture and debt enforcement moratoria. However, these come to an end on 31st December, with the hospitality sector still debilitated by severe restrictions on its ability to trade.
There is still substantial unsettled rent from the Covid crisis period within hospitality, estimated at around £1.6bn. This will increase further with December’s rent quarter payment date looming (25th Dec). The debt burden is mostly held by otherwise viable businesses that cannot pay rent bills due to lack of revenue during many weeks of closure and suppressed sales under tier restrictions.
Throughout this period, UKH says many landlords have made it clear that they intend to use the end of the moratoria to issue winding-up petitions and eviction notices to tenants, both large high-street chains and individual businesses. The trade association is calling for urgent action by government to preserve as many jobs and businesses as possible into 2021; encourage commercial landlords and tenants to come together to discuss rent debt and future rental agreements; and help to resolve Covid-19 related debt in a pragmatic and equitable fashion.
UKH believes that government must immediately extend the moratoria to the end of June 2021 to prevent potentially hundreds of thousands of further job losses in the sector and the failure of thousands of SMEs and well-known brands. This extension will also give time to produce workable solutions to sustainably deal with the build-up of rent debt. This become more important than ever with government indicating that the sector could still be subject to the harsh tiers restrictions until spring 2021.